Stock Analysis - Beta and Alpha
Beta and Alpha analysis are just two measurements of analysis used to gauge a stocks volatility and possibility of returns. These two measurements are a good source to use and a good place to start research of a stock before buying.
Beta is used for measuring the risk in a stocks price volatility and generally is used when the plan is to purchase and sell within a Short period of time. So day traders would consider this measurement carefully.
When the Beta is:
- Less than 0- very low volatility. However, a Beta this low is very unlikely.
- Equal to 0- very low volatility. This is possible, however chances are this will be a hard find.
- Less than 1- Somewhat more volatile than the previous, but overall more risk.
- More than 1- This is getting into riskier waters.
Alpha is used for measuring the difference between the fair and actually expected rates of return on a stock. This is a common measurement used to determine performance of a stock assuming that if a market is returns zero percent. An example: a stocks alpha with an alpha of 1, based on an index (say the S&P), will have a return of 1% if the index returned zero percent. This is the additional return above the expected return. Alpha = α. Risk free rate = rf .
When the Alpha is:
- αi < rf : the company has decreased value in the company or decrease returns
- αi = rf : the company has neither decreased or increased value or returns
- αi > rf : the company has created or increased value or returns
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